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OTTAWA: One of Canada's Real Estate Anomalies

DECEMBER 2018 -  Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board sold 1,165 residential properties in November through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® System, compared with 1,232 in November 2017, a decrease of 5.4 per cent. The five-year average for November sales is 1,055. November’s sales included 870 in the residential property class, a decrease of 7.2 per cent from a year ago, and 295 in the condominium property class, an increase of just one unit or 0.3 per cent from November 2017.


“Even though home sales are down this month compared to a year ago, this is simply a reflection of the lack of inventory that we have been experiencing all year. Unit sales would have been higher if only we had the selection and supply,” states Ralph Shaw, President of the Ottawa Real Estate Board. “Every REALTOR® I know has active buyers waiting for an opportunity, but many potential Sellers are in the same situation – and have no option but to stay put,” he adds.


The average sale price of a residential-class property sold in November in the Ottawa area was $429,039, an increase of 2.6 per cent over November 2017. The average sale price for a condominium-class property was $285,764, an increase of 11.1 per cent from this month last year.*


“Condominium sales continued to lead the way in November which included a higher average price percentage increase than single-family residential sales this month,” Shaw reports. “Robust sales over the last two years have stabilized the oversupply that previously existed in our condo market. Given that the rental market is as tight as it is, the condo market is not necessarily being driven by lifestyle choice but more often is purely about fulfilling accommodation needs.”


The $300,000 to $449,999 range remains the most active price point in the residential market, accounting for 47 per cent of home sales while the $500,000 to $750,000 price range continues to represent one in five of all residential home sales again this past month. Between $175,000 to $274,999 was November’s most prevalent price point in the condominium market, accounting for almost 47 per cent of the units sold.


“When you look at what’s happening in real estate markets across Canada, Ottawa’s market performance is the polar opposite,” Shaw declares. “Our market fundamentals are very strong, and we have experienced steady growth for many years, and indeed decades.”


“With our average home prices lower than the national average and our high employment levels, there is no doubt that Ottawa is one of our country’s most ideal locations to live, work, play, and raise your family,” Shaw concludes.

In addition to residential and condominium sales, OREB Members assisted clients with renting 2,553 properties since the beginning of the year down from 2,821 from this time last year.


The Board cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price and conditions will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

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Halloween Has Not Scared Away Home Buyers!

NOVEMBER 2018 - Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board sold 1,383 residential properties in October through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® System, compared with 1,237 in October 2017, an increase of 11.8 per cent. The five-year average for October sales is 1,223. October’s sales included 1,059 in the residential property class, a rise of 8.5 per cent from a year ago, and 324 in the condominium property class, an increase of 24.1 per cent from October 2017.


“October’s sales are truly indicative of the fast-paced market we have experienced for much of 2018,” points out Ottawa Real Estate Board President, Ralph Shaw. “In some pockets of the city, listings are not lingering on the market. Year-to-date average Days on Market (DOMs) are down 14% from 45 to 39 days for residential homes and 24% from 68 to 51 days for condominiums.”


“However, lack of supply continues to be a major driving factor in Ottawa’s real estate market,” he adds. “If we look back to 2015 and 2016, our current active inventory is less than half of what we had then, and it’s not improving. Compared to last year, condo inventory is down 34.5% while residential inventory is 17.5% lower than October 2017.”


“Ottawa’s reputation as one of the most affordable cities in the country endures with residential average prices up approximately 6% year over year, yet continuing to come in under $450,000. While average prices for condos remain reasonable and steady in the $270,000 range,” acknowledges Shaw.

The average sale price of a residential-class property sold in October in the Ottawa area was $449,005, an increase of 5.7 per cent over October 2017. The average sale price for a condominium-class property was $271,350, a slight increase of 0.6 per cent from this month last year.*


“Further, the number of apartment condo projects that have been approved by the City of Ottawa will maintain price stability for this category of housing going forward. This will offer opportunities particularly for renters who may be considering homeownership since the rental inventory is also down 32% from this time last year.”


The $300,000 to $449,999 range remains the most active price point in the residential market, accounting for 43 per cent of home sales while the $500,000 to $750,000 price range continues to represent one in five of all residential home sales this past month. Between $175,000 to $274,999 was October’s most robust price point in the condominium market, accounting for almost 53 per cent of the units sold.


In addition to residential and condominium sales, OREB Members assisted clients with renting 2,354 properties since the beginning of the year.


* The Board cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price and conditions will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.




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Autumn Leaves are Falling; Home Prices are Not

OCTOBER 2018 - Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board sold 1,393 residential properties in September through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® System, compared with 1,383 in September 2017, an increase of only 0.7 per cent. The five-year average for September sales is 1,303. September’s sales included 1,046 in the residential property class, a decrease of 2.5 per cent from a year ago, and 347 in the condominium property class, an increase of 11.9 percent from September 2017.


“We continue to experience supply-side issues going into our fall market. The fact is, the number of residential sales would be much higher had we more robust inventory to draw from,” states Ottawa Real Estate Board President Ralph Shaw. “Condos continue to represent a greater proportion of year-to-date unit sales with a 15 per cent increase from this time in 2017.”


The average sale price of a residential-class property sold in September in the Ottawa area was $449,613, an increase of 7.9 per cent over September 2017. The average sale price for a condominium-class property was $282,781, an increase of 7.6 per cent from this month last year.*


“Economic fundamentals are at play in our market with a lack of supply putting an upward pressure on prices in some areas,” Shaw asserts. “Condo price increases on a percentage basis are finally recovering and are catching up to the increases in residential prices which is very encouraging news for condo owners.”


“With the inventory of available apartment condo units also declining month over month; this trend of price improvements may help kick-start some of the mothballed condo projects to date,” he speculates.


The $300,000 to $449,999 range remains the most active price point in the residential market, accounting for 46 per cent of home sales while the $500,000 to $750,000 price range represents 22.5 per cent of residential home sales this past month. Between $175,000 to $274,999 was September’s most active price point in the condominium market, accounting for almost 57 per cent of the units sold.


“The low rental vacancy rate is spurring the purchase of condominium units, and first time home buyers wanting to enter the market are having to choose between “driving until they qualify” or purchasing a condominium at a price point they can afford.”


President Ralph Shaw offers one final thought. “Although the millennial generation is comfortable sharing their rides, they are not in the sharing mindset for housing – they want to own,” he contends. “In a recent study commissioned by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), research conducted by Abacus Data shows that Housing Affordability is a key issue  and the homeownership dream is alive and well with this demographic.”

In addition to residential and condominium sales, OREB Members assisted clients with renting 2,135 properties since the beginning of the year.


The Board cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price and conditions will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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